I’m having the strongest sense of déjà vu. In 2012, I was a Republican partisan. This was when I was…
Polls
He has underperformed the polls in each of the first three contests.
Recent general-election polling has generally shown Donald Trump maintaining a slight lead over President Biden. Yet many of those polls…
Almost all the polling shows the same pattern. Could the coming campaign restore Democrats’ usual advantage?
A poll can be very close to the actual result but miss the key story line. We’ll try new question…
Genevieve Glatsky, a reporter for the Andes bureau, discussed the assassination of Fernando Villavicencio, a presidential candidate who exposed governmental…
Trying to learn from a strong midterm run as we start surveying the G.O.P. primary.
In the so-called invisible primary, there’s often a clear relationship between early polling and the eventual outcome.
The polls are surprisingly divided, but higher-quality surveys point to an answer.
How much did coronavirus deaths, redistricting and voter suppression matter in the last election?
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